Spain v Italy Prediction – UEFA Nations League

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Kickoff: 02:45 AM (GMT +8)
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Spain v Italy Prediction (UEFA Nations League) – Football powerhouses Spain and Italy clash in the second semi-final of the UEFA Nations League. In their last meeting, also in this competition, the Roja narrowly beat the Azzurri 2-1. Who will prevail this time to book the other slot in the UNL final? Have a quick look and read on for our winning tips below.

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Spain v Italy Prediction – Head to Head

Spain
Statistic
Italy

18
Won
10

13
Drawn
13

39
Goals scored
36

Spain and Italy have met a total of 41 times, with Spain having the edge in meetings with eight wins. The goal count between the two is quite tight, with the Spanish scoring just three more times in head-to-head matches. Below are the most recent contests between the two sides.

Spain v Italy Prediction – Recent Matches

Date
Event
Home
Score
Away

06-Oct-21
UEFA Nations League
ITA
1-2
ESP

06-Jul-21
UEFA EURO
ITA
1-1
ESP

02-Sep-17
FIFA World Cup
ESP
3-0
ITA

Spain v Italy Prediction – Form (All Competitions)

Spain
L
W
L
L
D

Italy
W
L
L
W
W

Spain have had an underwhelming record in their last five games across all competitions, with one win, one draw and three losses. Italy have fared a bit better in such contests with three wins and two losses. Let’s take an in-depth look into both teams.

Spain v Italy Prediction – Preview

Spain

Spain finished the UNL group stage atop League A Group 2, just one point clear of Portugal. The two sides also had their last meeting against each other in the competition, with Alvaro Morata scoring the lone goal on 88 minutes. The Roja thereafter took part in the World Cup, barely surviving the group stage with a shock loss to Japan (2-1) and a draw with Germany (1-1). Eventually, they were knocked out in the round of 16 by Morocco on penalties, 0-3, after a goalless draw. The recent Euro qualifiers saw Luis de la Fuente’s men get mixed results against Norway (W, 3-0) and Scotland (L, 0-2). Can the young squad get one step closer to their first UNL trophy against a feisty Azzurri side?

Italy

Italy have also emerged on top of League A Group 3, and are also clear one point of second placer Hungary in a group that included Germany and England. In their last outing in the competition, they handily beat the Hungarians 2-0 thanks to goals in either half from Giacomo Raspadori and Federico Dimarco. The Azzurri missed out on last year’s World Cup so they instead figured in friendlies with Albania (W, 3-1) and Austria (L, 2-0). In the pair of Euro 2024 qualifiers last March, the reigning European champions also experienced mixed results as they bowed to Euro 2020 runners-up England (1-2) and won against Malta (2-0). The Roberto Mancini-led side are now two steps away in winning their second major trophy in two years, but standing in their way is the young, vibrant Roja of Spain. Could they deliver?

Spain v Italy Prediction – Final Thoughts

Clashes between these two Latin giants have always been exciting, and this UNL final will be no exception. Spain’s strong attack will certainly be challenged by Italy’s equally good defence. However, fatigue may play a factor, with a couple of Italian players in Serie A figuring in the historic three finals of the UEFA club competitions. Thus, the fresher Spanish side could capitalise on their slim edge and book their ticket to the final. Let’s take a look at the prediction.

Spain v Italy Prediction

We will be betting on the Asian Handicap and Over/Under in Euro football odds for this match:

Spain-flag

Spain (0)

Odds (1.89)

Under: 2.5 Goals
Odds: 1.65

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Disclaimer: The odds change from time to time without prior notice and is only available at the time of writing

For this UEFA Nations League semi-final Spain v Italy Prediction to win, Spain need to win the match in full time by one goal. If they draw the match in full time, the bet will be refunded. For the Over/Under bet to win, the total goal count should be below 2.5 goals. 

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Author: Anthony Campbell